{"id":7576,"date":"2019-12-28T21:50:37","date_gmt":"2019-12-28T20:50:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.finderbet.com\/surebet-what-it-is-and-how-it-is-calculated\/"},"modified":"2025-05-20T18:27:27","modified_gmt":"2025-05-20T16:27:27","slug":"surebet-what-it-is-and-how-it-is-calculated","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.finderbet.com\/en\/surebet-what-it-is-and-how-it-is-calculated\/","title":{"rendered":"Surebet. What it is and how it is calculated"},"content":{"rendered":"

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_custom_heading text=”SureBet: Calculation, what they are and how to find them” use_theme_fonts=”yes” el_class=”shorter”][vc_column_text]<\/p>\n

<\/h5>\n
Comprehensive guide to Sure Betting or “Sure Betting,” abbreviated Surebet, <\/strong>and what is the mathematical technique that allows you to have a certain return regardless of how the event will turn out. We begin by talking about betting in general, and then delve into the dynamics that generate the mathematical equations that are intended to bring you, step by step, to create a 100% guaranteed steady profit.<\/h5>\n

[\/vc_column_text][vc_separator color=”custom” gap=”tall” gradient=”yes” accent_color=”#d6d6d6″][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_custom_heading text=”What is a surebet?” font_container=”tag:h3|text_align:left” use_theme_fonts=”yes”][vc_column_text]Betting on an event means wagering a sum of money on the predicted outcome of a match.<\/p>\n

Below is an example of a quote for a match between two tennis players, Tennis Player1 VS Tennis Player2, the results of which are hypothetically quoted by BOOKMAKER1:<\/p>\n

\"Betting<\/a>
Betting odds example table<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

I bet \u20ac10 on Outcome1, i.e. Tennis Player1 winning.<\/p>\n

Betting a sum of money on the expected outcome of a match is a gamble, that is, there is an inherent percentage of risk. In fact, if the event occurs, the resulting win is = 10*1.4 = \u20ac14 (net \u20ac4 = 14 \u2013 10 played). It follows that, if Tennis Player2-Outcome2 wins, I will have lost \u20ac10. <\/p>\n

But to avoid taking any risks, can I bet on the opposite outcomes, that is, bet on both tennis players winning?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Let’s see what happens if we bet \u20ac20, equally distributed according to the odds, on both winning tennis players:<\/p>\n

\"Bet
Bet calculation table<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

In this case it is demonstrated that, betting on opposite outcomes, you always lose:<\/p>\n

outcome1 the loss is = 19.19 \u2013 20 = -\u20ac 0.81<\/strong>
outcome2 the loss is = 19.18 \u2013 20 = -\u20ac 0.82<\/strong>
The negative margin is the bookmaker’s profit<\/em><\/p>\n

Sports arbitrage or surebet<\/strong>, derives from sure betting: a safe bet<\/strong>, is a mathematical situation in which, by always betting on opposite outcomes of an event, a sure profit is always generated, therefore a 100% guaranteed profit<\/strong>.[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_custom_heading text=”How is a surebet calculated?” font_container=”tag:h3|text_align:left” use_theme_fonts=”yes”][vc_column_text]Let’s take the example of the match, in which Tennis Player 1 plays against Tennis Player 2. This match is quoted by Book1 and Book2, and in particular we have: <\/p>\n

\"Bookmaker<\/a>
Bookmaker odds table<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Respecting the definition, making Surebet means betting on opposite outcomes of an event in which a sure profit is always generated, let’s proceed with the calculation of the various combinations of opposite outcomes:<\/p>\n

1. BOOK1<\/strong>: I bet by distributing \u20ac20 on both outcomes:<\/p>\n

Book1\/Outcome1 = 1.4 x 13.71 = \u20ac19.19 \u2013 20 played = \u20ac-0.81<\/strong>
Book1\/Outcome2 = 3.05 x 6.29 = \u20ac19.18 \u2013 20 played = \u20ac-0.82<\/strong><\/p>\n

2. BOOK2<\/strong>: I bet by distributing \u20ac20 on both outcomes:<\/p>\n

Book2\/Outcome1 = 1.55 x 12.62 = \u20ac19.56 \u2013 \u20ac20 played = \u20ac-0.44<\/strong>
Book2\/Outcome2 = 2.65 x 7.38 = \u20ac19.56 \u2013 \u20ac20 played = \u20ac-0.44<\/strong><\/p>\n

In both cases you lose<\/strong><\/p>\n

because the negative margin that is generated is the bookmaker’s profit<\/em>:<\/p>\n

BOOK1 \u20ac -0.81 on \u20ac20 = -4.05%<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

BOOK2 \u20ac -0.44 on \u20ac20 = -2.20%<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

What if we instead applied a mathematical technique, which would exploit the decimal differences between the two bookmakers’ results?<\/strong><\/p>\n

3. I bet by distributing \u20ac20 in the following way:<\/p>\n

BOOK2-RESULT1<\/strong> = 1.55 x 13.26 = \u20ac20.55 \u2013 20 played = + \u20ac0.55<\/strong>
BOOK1-RESULT2<\/strong> = 3.05 x 6.74 = \u20ac20.56 \u2013 20 played = + \u20ac0.56<\/strong><\/p>\n

You WIN mathematically, this is a surebet:<\/strong><\/p>\n

BOOK1 \u20ac +0.55 on \u20ac20 = +2.75%
BOOK2 \u20ac +0.56 on \u20ac20 = +2.8%<\/p>\n

SURE WIN WITH A NET INCOME OF<\/strong><\/p>\n

SUREBET = + 2.8 %<\/strong><\/p>\n

[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_custom_heading text=”Why are surebets generated?” font_container=”tag:h3|text_align:left” use_theme_fonts=”yes”][vc_column_text]In our example, the two bookmakers can quote, and therefore evaluate, the results of an event differently and this applies to any event of any sport, because:<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. They want to compete with each other and by wanting to differentiate themselves they can quote a higher outcome<\/li>\n
  2. They cannot control all the outcomes of all the events of others.<\/li>\n
  3. Making a simple error in assessing the outcome.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    [\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_custom_heading text=”Why was FinderBet born?” font_container=”tag:h3|font_size:20|text_align:left” use_theme_fonts=”yes”][vc_column_text]The finderBet service was created to guarantee what other services do not offer or offer only partially, because:<\/p>\n