{"id":7618,"date":"2020-04-17T12:40:28","date_gmt":"2020-04-17T10:40:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.finderbet.com\/valuebet-what-is-and-how-it-is-generated\/"},"modified":"2025-05-31T16:28:27","modified_gmt":"2025-05-31T14:28:27","slug":"valuebet-what-it-is-and-how-it-is-generated","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.finderbet.com\/en\/valuebet-what-it-is-and-how-it-is-generated\/","title":{"rendered":"ValueBet: What is and how it is generated"},"content":{"rendered":"<section class=\"wpb-content-wrapper\"><p>[vc_row][vc_column][vc_custom_heading text=&#8221;ValueBet: Prediction, technical pick and value odds&#8221; use_theme_fonts=&#8221;yes&#8221; el_class=&#8221;shorter&#8221;][vc_column_text]<\/p>\n<h5><\/h5>\n<h5>Complete guide that explains the meaning of ValueBet or &#8220;Value Bet&#8221;, which through the analysis of the trends of the last matches and the trends of the previous championships, called technical pick, you arrive at determining the &#8220;Value Quota&#8221;.<\/h5>\n<h5>We report some methods by which ValueBet is determined and how, through analyses, finderBet adopts a different strategy that favors an annuity based on <strong>long-term<\/strong> plays.<\/h5>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][vc_separator color=&#8221;custom&#8221; gap=&#8221;tall&#8221; gradient=&#8221;yes&#8221; accent_color=&#8221;#d6d6d6&#8243;][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_custom_heading text=&#8221;What is a ValueBet?&#8221; font_container=&#8221;tag:h3|text_align:left&#8221; use_theme_fonts=&#8221;yes&#8221;][vc_column_text]The ValueBet or \u201cvalue odds\u201d is the odds predicted by a bookmaker for a match event, which are higher than what is considered to be fair (real odds).<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>bookmaker&#8217;s share &gt; real share<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Of course, it is not easy to identify a ValueBet if the definition &#8220;deemed to be fair&#8221; is based on a subjective judgment of the bettor, which must be as precise as possible, by carrying out a statistical study (technical picket) on the trends of the last matches and trends of the previous championships, determining the real odds.<\/p>\n<p>We define and explain some essential concepts and how ValueBets found on the market are evaluated.[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_custom_heading text=&#8221;What is it and how is it calculated by bookmakers?&#8221; font_container=&#8221;tag:h3|text_align:left&#8221; use_theme_fonts=&#8221;yes&#8221;][vc_column_text]Bookmaking is the determination of the statistical probability that a certain event will occur. It is initially calculated as a percentage and then expressed in decimal: <strong>odds<\/strong>.<br \/>\nLet&#8217;s take an example and how to transform, with the reverse process, the odds into a percentage and then calculating the bookmaker&#8217;s profit: <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.finderbet.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/calcolo-allibramento.bmp\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-4361 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.finderbet.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/calcolo-allibramento.bmp\" alt=\"Bookmaking calculation table\" width=\"471\" height=\"165\"><\/a>The bookmaker&#8217;s profit is spread by the bookmaker differently over any event of any match (schedule), and determines the profit because, as the saying goes, the house always wants to win.[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_custom_heading text=&#8221;What is the technical stake and the process of calculating the actual share?&#8221; font_container=&#8221;tag:h3|text_align:left&#8221; use_theme_fonts=&#8221;yes&#8221;][vc_column_text]Starting from our example, 1.6 concerns the victory of Team1 over Team2. From a statistical analysis of the last matches and the trend in the previous championships (technical pick), our prediction is that the real odds of the victory of Team1 are 1.4 (prediction), so we will have: <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.finderbet.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/calcolo-valuebet.bmp\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-4364 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.finderbet.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/calcolo-valuebet.bmp\" alt=\"valuebet calculation table\" width=\"549\" height=\"79\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>This is a ValueBet: By determining that I agree to bet on odds higher than those I predicted (real odds), in the long term I am destined to earn the estimated percentage (9.93%), according to the invested capital.<\/p>\n<p>What are the limits of ValueBets:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Nobody can make 100% valid predictions: we are playing against professionals, bookmakers have to earn money<\/li>\n<li>You need to be very knowledgeable about the sport you are analyzing: know the teams or the games, the clashes in the short term (last games) and in the long term (previous championships)<\/li>\n<li>Bookmakers employ industry professionals and have advanced tools for market analysis. If the definition that they rarely make mistakes is true, it is equally rare to find ValueBets.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_custom_heading text=&#8221;Some people rely on exchange market quotations, for the determination of the actual quota, what is the difference?&#8221; font_container=&#8221;tag:h3|text_align:left&#8221; use_theme_fonts=&#8221;yes&#8221;][vc_column_text]Let&#8217;s explain what the exchange market is: There are online services that allow the meeting of supply and demand of odds on sporting events. In all respects it is a stock market, in which there are those who buy a share and those who sell it. All the actors involved are therefore players who bet or bank odds.  <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>To bet<\/strong>: I declare that an event occurs<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>To bank<\/strong>: I declare that that event will not occur<\/p>\n<p>There are two exchange markets in Italy: betfair and betflag. Below is an example of a market on a specific event: <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.finderbet.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/mercato-exchange.bmp\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-4366 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.finderbet.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/mercato-exchange.bmp\" alt=\"exchange market\" width=\"335\" height=\"131\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>We see that in backing the highest odds (in favor of event 1) are 2.2 with a capital available to bet of \u20ac57, while in laying (against the event) they are 2.26 with a capital available to bet of \u20ac46, and so on for the rest of the events.<\/p>\n<p>It is important to underline that the available capital is what you can bet and, if it ends, you can bet at a lower rate with the attached capital (in the example in bet: 2.18 &#8211; \u20ac 101). In addition to this, being an open market, there are continuous variations in share and associated capital, causing continuous oscillations.<\/p>\n<p>In summary, if the bookmaker&#8217;s odds are higher than the exchange market&#8217;s odds, it is a ValueBet:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>bookmaker odds &gt; exchange market odds = ValueBet<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The exchange is a market where supply and demand of odds meet between players and these tend to &#8220;study&#8221; which is the best odds in favor or against an event, therefore it can be declared that it is a technical picket determined by a group of people. From this we can deduce that the stake quota can be defined as the real quota.<\/p>\n<p>Below is a chart of the capital traded on our example:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.finderbet.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/scambi-mercato-exchange.bmp\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-4369 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.finderbet.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/scambi-mercato-exchange.bmp\" alt=\"Exchange Market Exchanges\" width=\"702\" height=\"483\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>What are the limits of this type of ValueBet <strong>determined by the exchange markets<\/strong>:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>There are <strong>few leagues<\/strong> available, only the major ones, not all world leagues<\/li>\n<li>There are <strong>few sports<\/strong> available<\/li>\n<li>There are only a <strong>few event types<\/strong> available.<\/li>\n<li>The capital amount exchanged (graphic example: \u20ac609), does not guarantee that the amount can be considered a value amount, as there are few plays (opinions) from the players.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_custom_heading text=&#8221;FinderBet calculates ValueBets for you, how?&#8221; font_container=&#8221;tag:h3|text_align:left&#8221; use_theme_fonts=&#8221;yes&#8221;][vc_column_text]Who are the major experts on the sports market?<\/p>\n<p><strong>The bookmakers.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>No matter how good we are at calculating the technical pick, it will never be 100% sure, because the real experts are the bookmakers, who have to earn.<\/p>\n<p>FinderBet adopts a completely different strategy, comparing the individual odds offered by all the bookmakers (the experts), as the same event can be interpreted differently by the same bookmakers and for this reason they can:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>To compete with each other and quote a higher outcome than others<\/li>\n<li>Not being able to control all the outcomes of all other people&#8217;s events<\/li>\n<li>Making a simple error in assessing the outcome.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Finderbet, attraverso dei calcoli trova le ValueBet applicando la seguente regola:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Finderbet considers a Valuebet any odds that are overvalued compared to the average Asian markets, such as those of reference of pinnacle.com (PS3838)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Obviously, you need to establish a strategy of income based on betting on <strong>long term<\/strong><strong>,<\/strong> with a money management that allows you to sustain many plays, as they do not always have an immediate return.<\/p>\n<p>For information on the tools available within the valuebet service, refer to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.finderbet.com\/calcolo-surebet-guida-completa-software-dutcher\/\"><strong>reference guide<\/strong><\/a>, where you can learn how to:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Set up account filters<\/li>\n<li>Set and save environment filters<\/li>\n<li>Save your games with the dedicated guide of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.finderbet.com\/en\/profit-tracker-complete-guide\/\">Profit Tracker<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>There is an additional advantage that simplifies everything: Valuebets are auto-reported by the Finderbet system. The day after the match, you will already be able to see in the profit tracker if the bets were winning. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Now all you have to do is <strong>WIN<\/strong> because<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>f<\/strong><strong>inderBet<\/strong> does everything automatically:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Scan in minutes<br \/>\nAll the championships of the sports scheduled<br \/>\nAll the matches<br \/>\nAll the odds that produce a ValueBet<br \/>\nCalculate BILLIONS of mathematical operations every time<br \/>\n=<br \/>\n<strong>finderBet FIND <a href=\"https:\/\/www.finderbet.com\/en\/valuebet\/\">VALUEBETS<\/a><br \/>\nand AUTO REFERENCES for YOU!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_column][\/vc_column][vc_row][vc_column][vc_custom_heading text=&#8221;Are you ready to always WIN?&#8221; font_container=&#8221;tag:h3|text_align:center&#8221; use_theme_fonts=&#8221;yes&#8221;][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_btn title=&#8221;Register&#8221; style=&#8221;modern&#8221; shape=&#8221;rounded&#8221; color=&#8221;primary&#8221; size=&#8221;lg&#8221; align=&#8221;center&#8221; link=&#8221;url:https%3A%2F%2Fwww.finderbet.com%2Fregister%2Ffree%2F|title:Register|&#8221;][\/vc_column][\/vc_row]<\/p>\n<\/section>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[vc_row][vc_column][vc_custom_heading text=&#8221;ValueBet: Prediction, technical pick and value odds&#8221; use_theme_fonts=&#8221;yes&#8221; el_class=&#8221;shorter&#8221;][vc_column_text] Complete guide that explains the meaning of ValueBet or &#8220;Value Bet&#8221;, which through the analysis of the trends of the last matches and the trends of the previous championships, called technical pick, you arrive at determining the &#8220;Value Quota&#8221;. We report some methods by which [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.finderbet.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/7618"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.finderbet.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.finderbet.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.finderbet.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.finderbet.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7618"}],"version-history":[{"count":21,"href":"https:\/\/www.finderbet.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/7618\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9016,"href":"https:\/\/www.finderbet.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/7618\/revisions\/9016"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.finderbet.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7618"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}