What is a Surebet?
Betting on an event means wagering a sum of money on the predicted outcome of a match. Every bet carries risk: if your prediction is incorrect, you lose your stake.
Here is an example of a quote for the match Tennis Player 1 vs Tennis Player 2:
Betting €10 on Outcome 1 (Tennis Player 1 to win):
Win if Tennis Player 1 wins: €10 × 1.4 = €14 → net profit + €4 Loss if Tennis Player 2 wins: – €10 |
But is it possible to bet on both outcomes without taking any risks? Let’s see what happens when we distribute €20 equally between both tennis players:
Result of betting on both outcomes with a single bookmaker:
Result 1: €19.19 – €20 invested = – €0.81
Result 2: €19.18 – €20 invested = – €0.82
The negative margin represents the bookmaker’s profit. You always lose.
Sports arbitrage, or Surebet, was born right here: by exploiting the differences in odds between multiple bookmakers, it is possible to bet on opposing outcomes of the same event and obtain a mathematically guaranteed profit.
How to calculate a Surebet
Let’s take the same match, Tennis Player 1 vs Tennis Player 2, this time quoted by two different bookmakers:
Let’s analyze all possible combinations by distributing €20 on the opposite outcomes:
Case 1 — Only BOOK 1 (loses)
Bet | Gross winnings | Net result |
Book 1 – Outcome 1: 1.4 × €13.71 | € 19.19 | – € 0.81 |
Book1 – Outcome2: 3.05 × €6.29 | € 19.18 | – € 0.82 |
Bookmaker margin |
| – 4.05% |
Case 2 — Only BOOK 2 (loses)
Bet | Gross winnings | Net result |
Book 2 – Outcome 1: 1.55 × €12.62 | € 19.56 | – € 0.44 |
Book2 – Outcome2: 2.65 × €7.38 | € 19.56 | – € 0.44 |
Bookmaker margin |
| – 2.20% |
Case 3 — Combination BOOK 2 + BOOK 1 → SUREBET!
Bet | Gross winnings | Net result |
Book 2 – Outcome 1: 1.55 × €13.26 | € 20.55 | + € 0.55 |
Book1 – Outcome2: 3.05 × €6.74 | € 20.56 | + € 0.56 |
Guaranteed net income | + 2.8% |
This is a Surebet:
By betting Book2-Outcome1 + Book1-Outcome2 you mathematically win in both cases, with a guaranteed net return of +2.8% on the invested capital.
Why Surebets are generated
Surebets exist because bookmakers evaluate outcomes independently of each other. This happens for three reasons:
- Competition: To attract bettors, a bookmaker may offer higher odds than others.
- Lack of updating: no bookmaker is able to monitor all the outcomes of all the events of the others in real time.
- Evaluation errors: a simple error in estimating the probability of an outcome can generate an anomalous odds.
Why FinderBet was born
Other services on the market have one or more of these problems:
- They use bookmakers that do not accept Italian customers.
- They update surebets too slowly — the odds are constantly changing.
- They are expensive, difficult to use, or unintuitive.
- They calculate surebets on few markets, few events and few championships.
FinderBet was created to solve all this, offering a comprehensive, fast, and accessible tool for the Italian market.
Is it possible to find Surebets on your own?
Finding and calculating surebets manually is a time-consuming and error-prone process. Consider the scale of the problem:
Listed Sports ~ 30 | Championships ~ 450 | Events ~ 6.750 | Results analyzed ~ 2.000.000 |
The result is billions of possible combinations. Calculating them by hand is impossible. FinderBet processes them all automatically, in just a few seconds.
FinderBet does everything automatically:
✓ Scan all the scheduled sports championships in just a few minutes
✓ Analyze all matches and all available odds
✓ Calculate billions of mathematical combinations every time
✓ Finds Surebets and reports them in real time, without limits
Are you ready to always win?
